原油供应增加 油价将于本月首次下跌 – 中国国际能源舆情研究中心

原油供应增加 油价将于本月首次下跌

【WorldOil网10月6日报道】油价自9月初以来首次出现单周下跌,因为人们对于全球产量增长的关注抵消了热带风暴内特造成的美国墨西哥湾地区潜在生产中断。9月,欧佩克产量小幅攀升。上周,美国石油产量达到两年来的最高水平,利比亚重新启动了最大油田。尽管油价上月有所上涨,但因市场需求强劲,油价很难维持在每桶52美元以上。

Oil Set for First Weekly Loss in a Month as Crude Supply Rises

LONDON (Bloomberg) -- Oil was set for the first weekly decline since early September as concerns about rising global production countered potential output disruptions in the U.S. Gulf from Tropical Storm Nate.

Futures fell 2.1% in New York, bringing the weekly drop to 3.8%. OPEC output climbed marginally in September, U.S. production reached a two-year high last week and Libya restarted its biggest oil field. Companies from BP Plc to Chevron Corp. are shutting platforms in the GOM to prepare for Tropical Storm Nate, which is forecast to become a hurricane south of Louisiana on Saturday.

While oil rallied into a bull market last month on the prospect of stronger demand, prices struggled to hold above $52/bbl. Supply is growing in the U.S., while two members of OPEC that are exempt from making cuts boosted output. Saudi Arabia and Russia reaffirmed their cooperation during a visit from King Salman bin Abdulaziz this week, with President Vladimir Putin saying he is open to extending the agreement with OPEC until the end of 2018 if required.

“Higher OPEC production in September as well as the prompt return of supplies from Libya after the brief closure of their biggest field weighed on oil futures this week,” said Giovanni Staunovo, an analyst at UBS Group AG in Zurich.

WTI for November delivery was at $49.73/bbl on the New York Mercantile Exchange, down $1.05. Total volume traded was in line with the 100-day average. Prices rose $0.81 to $50.79 on Thursday, the first gain in four sessions.

Brent for December settlement fell $0.81 to $56.19/bbl on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. Prices are down 2.3% for the week. Brent crude traded at a premium of $6.09 to December WTI.

OPEC produced 32.83 MMbpd in September, up 120,000 bpd from August, as output recovered in Libya and Nigeria, according to figures compiled by Bloomberg. Production at Libya’s Sharara field increased to 200,000 bpd as it reopened after a halt forced by gunmen on Sunday, said a person with knowledge of the matter.

U.S. oil output rose by 14,000 bpd to 9.56 MMbpd last week, according to data from the EIA.

Oil Market News

Tropical Storm Nate was about 115 mi northeast of Isla Guanaja, Honduras, with top winds of 45 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said in an advisory.

President Donald Trump is weighing a new strategy to confront Iran’s nuclear ambitions that would leave a 2015 agreement intact for now but ask Congress to toughen a law overseeing the Islamic Republic’s compliance with the accord, according to three administration officials.

Nigeria’s crude output fell to 1.67 MMbpd last month, from 1.72 million in August, according to the Ministry of Petroleum Resources. Bloomberg’s survey of analysts and industry sources saw the nation’s production at 1.77 MMbpd.

(   审校:王立琦 )

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