减产或延长,油市心欢喜 – 中国国际能源舆情研究中心

减产或延长,油市心欢喜

【WorldOil网11月3日报道】欧佩克将于本月底召开会议,或延长减产协议,油市收盘价达两年多来最高水平。纽约期货价格涨幅高达0.9%,迎来第四次周涨价。费氏全球能源咨询公司(FGE)总裁费沙拉基(Fereidun Fesharaki)等分析师认为欧佩克延长减产已成定局,唯一悬而未决的只有延长期限。另外,委内瑞拉总统马杜罗周四表示将设法重组国家债务,预期欧佩克成员国石油产量将进一步下降。

Oil extends rally on expectations OPEC will lengthen output cuts

LONDON (Bloomberg) -- Oil extended gains from the highest close in more than two years on signs that OPEC will extend production cuts when it meets at the end of this month.

Futures rose as much as 0.9% in New York and are heading for a fourth weekly advance. Analysts including FGE Chairman Fereidun Fesharaki view an extension of the OPEC curbs as a “done deal,” with the only question being for how long. Separately, Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro said on Thursday he will seek to restructure the country’s debt, raising expectations that the OPEC member’s dwindling oil production will decline even further.

Oil has advanced more than 15% since the beginning of September on signs that global supplies are tightening and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allied producers led by Russia may prolong their agreement past the end of March. A decision this month is not certain, according to Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak.

“One of the key elements is this expectation that OPEC will extend the deal,” said Torbjorn Kjus, an analyst at DNB Bank ASA. While the “base case” is for an extension, “downside risk is building” should ministers unexpectedly decide against it, he said.

West Texas Intermediate for December delivery climbed as much as 49 cents to $54.79/bbl on the New York Mercantile Exchange and was at $54.69 as of 7:58 a.m. local time. Total volume traded was about 38% below the 100-day average. Prices on Thursday gained 24 cents to settle at $54.54, the highest close since July 2015, and are 1.5% higher this week.

Brent for January settlement added as much as 53 cents, or 0.9%, to $61.15/bbl on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The contract rose 0.2% to $60.62 on Thursday. Front-month prices are up 0.6% this week. The global benchmark traded at a premium of $5.88 to January WTI.

Venezuelan output declined by 230,000 bopd in the year to September, according to the latest report by the International Energy Agency. The spiraling economic and political crisis has prompted foreign operators to withdraw workers while funding and power shortages have further hampered production.

Oil-market news. Venezuela may have to export even more oil to China, Russia since these creditors are the most likely to help out amid the debt restructuring, DNB’s Kjus said. EOG Resources Inc. took the wraps off two new chunks of land in the Permian and in Oklahoma that tack on an estimated 750 MMbbl of oil to its portfolio.

 

( 译者:王立琦  审校:吴广慧,马佳惠 )

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